EIA's STEO: Geopolitics Push Oil Up, But Glut Still Looms
OilPrice
JULY 8, 2025
The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) raised its 2025 Brent forecast by $3 to $69/bbl, citing a spike in geopolitical risk from the mid-June Iran nuclear conflict. With inventories building, the agency sees Brent falling to $58/bbl in 2026—a dollar lower than last month’s projection.
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