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EIA's STEO: Geopolitics Push Oil Up, But Glut Still Looms

OilPrice

The July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) raised its 2025 Brent forecast by $3 to $69/bbl, citing a spike in geopolitical risk from the mid-June Iran nuclear conflict. With inventories building, the agency sees Brent falling to $58/bbl in 2026—a dollar lower than last month’s projection. But that bump is expected to be short-lived.

BBL 260
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Khalda Petroleum to Bring 2 New Wells Online This June

Egypt Oil & Gas

Khalda Petroleum, a joint venture (JV) between the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC) and Apache Corporation, is bringing two new wells into production in June 2025, with an initial estimated total of 5,400 barrels of crude oil per day (bbl/d). Khalda completed drilling operations for the Fox Deep-02 appraisal well.

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ConocoPhillips’ New Zia Hills Facility Cuts Costs, Footprint & Emissions

Oil Gas Leads

Excited to share a major milestone from one of the Permian Basin’s top operators— ConocoPhillips has brought its Zia Hills Central Facility 2 (CF2) online in the Delaware Basin.

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Reusing produced water

Oilfield Technology

It was costing up to US$10/bbl to ship PW to out of state SWDs because Pennsylvania had only nine permitted SWDs. Only a few years back desalinating PW was projected to cost US$5-6/bbl. More recent developments in desalinating technologies are suggesting costs of US$1-2/bbl at scale. This was driven by two factors.

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Enverus EVOLVE: Creating the future of energy with AI, intelligence and innovation

Enverus

Asset Optimization: Permian inventory is increasingly scarce, with seven operators controlling 71% of remaining sub-$50/bbl inventory. Gas-weighted equities are favored over oil-weighted names in the near term, with Henry Hub prices forecast to average $4/Mcf.

Energy 130
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How Canada’s oil sands transformed into one of North America’s lowest-cost plays

Oil & Gas 360º

bbl between 2017 and 2019, according to BMO. This long-term focus on cost-cutting means Canada’s five biggest oil sands companies can break even — and still maintain their dividends — at WTI prices between $43.10 and $40.85, according to a Bank of Montreal analysis for Reuters. Oil sands had an average break-even price of $51.80/bbl

Oil 130
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Citi sees oil prices of $75-$78/bbl if war disrupts 1.1 mln bpd of Iran’s oil exports

BOE Report

“This implies Brent prices should be in the $75 to $78/bbl range,” Citi said in a [Read more] An escalation of the Iran-Israeli hostilities could keep Brent oil prices trading about 15% to 20% above pre-conflict levels if the war disrupts 1.1

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